Countries · China

Climate change in China

+1.6°C since 1951–1980

China has warmed 1.6 °C on average, faster than the world as a whole (+1.1 °C over the same period).

Further warming by 2040–2059
+1.9°C
vs 1995–2014, SSP2-4.5 · high emissions +2.4 °C
Extra days above 35 °C
+6/yr
national average, 2040–2059 vs 1995–2014
CO₂ per person (2024)
8.7t
world average 4.7 t · #10 of 60 countries here
Share of global CO₂
31.8%
15.4% of all CO₂ emitted since 1750

China: national average temperature, 1950–2025 (°C)

678°C1960198020002020
Copernicus ERA5, area-weighted national average, via World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.

1950 → 2025. China's warming stripes.

China's CO₂ emissions

China: annual CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels and industry (million tonnes)

0500010000Mt1960198020002020
Global Carbon Budget via Our World in Data. Territorial emissions; excludes land use.

Cities in China

Beijing
+2.0°C
since 1951–1980 · in 2050 like Diyarbakır
Shanghai
+2.0°C
since 1951–1980 · in 2050 like Wuhan
Chongqing
+0.9°C
since 1951–1980 · in 2050 like Fuzhou

Frequently asked questions

How much has China warmed?

Averaged over the whole country, the last ten years (2016–2025) were 1.6 °C warmer than 1951–1980 according to Copernicus ERA5 — faster than the global average of 1.1 °C over the same period. Land areas warm faster than the oceans, so most countries warm faster than the global figure.

How much warmer will China be in 2050?

Climate models project China to be about 1.9 °C warmer in 2040–2059 than in 1995–2014 under an intermediate scenario (SSP2-4.5; model range 1.3–2.5 °C), and 2.4 °C under very high emissions (SSP5-8.5).

How much CO₂ does China emit?

China emitted 12.29 billion tonnes of CO₂ from fossil fuels and industry in 2024, 31.8% of the global total, or 8.7 tonnes per person — 1.8 times the world average. Historically it has emitted 15.4% of all CO₂ since 1750.

Sources: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal; Our World in Data – CO₂ and Greenhouse Gas Emissions (Global Carbon Project)

Licence: Temperature: ERA5 (CC BY 4.0) and CMIP6 (CC BY-SA 4.0) via World Bank CCKP. Emissions: Our World in Data, CC BY 4.0 (Global Carbon Budget). · Generated 17 October 2026 · Methodology